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Dear Friends,

BNP Paribas has recently come out with a “Reduce” rating on Unitech. The report dated 29^th September quotes “If seeing is believing, we lack belief! ” the brokerage did a field survey on many of Unitech project sites in NCR,Chennai and Kolkata. To its surprise there has been no construction activity in projects that have been fully sold out and launched in March 2009. The report sets a target price of 50 Rs per share and also cautions an investor that the “ Fully Sold Tag” can come with a mere 5-10% down payments by potential investors. I believe that demand for high-end housing has reduced after the recent global turmoil in non-prime locations. Moreover the only reason for a potential target price of 50 is because of the recent fund raising by the company. I believe the potential price target unless the company had raised funds would had been at higher single digits.!!! Moreover the telecom diworsfication (company has moved funds away from a lucrative 33% operating margin business to a highly commoditized business) will only prove to be a fund sucker at a latter date. Interesting times ahead.

With reference to my earlier reference on the litmus test on Nifty I have found some more inference that can be observed to access the end result. IT sector was the backbone of this Bull Run. Infosys technology in a single quarter moved more then 50%. I believe the stock can be used as an indicator for further market movement. If Infosys manages to cross 2422 or 2233 on the downside we would know where the markets are heading on a medium term. One more preliminary analysis, which I would like to share, Banking might be heading to a Bubble zone. Don’t share the news it’s just between us boys. J

Traders who believed that Bharti will Outperform the markets should go and study the subscriber additions and the ARPU of existing telecom operators. I strongly believe that the telecom sector would slowly move towards valuation parameters of power utility. Coming to Nifty Unless 4790 is broken with a decisive break the markets will frustrate all living Bears. On the upside I refuse to believe that the markets would rally unless further liquidity starts gushing in.

NIFTY SUPPORT:-4979,4888

Nifty resistance :-5041,5081

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TSR SEPTEMBER SERIES REPORT.

PROFIT 82945 = IN 1 LOT

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TSR INTRA NIFTY

PROFITS 32840 (688 POINTS IN 1 LOT)

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TSR OPTIONS PLAN

PROFITS 38450

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