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Dear friends,
It is probably for the first time that a government-investigating agency has raided a government department for alleged misappropriation of funds. The classical signs of the halt of the Short term Bullish upmove were visible last week. LT, which has a shareholder approval for an equity dilution since eighteen months, raised money last week. With a TTM pe of 20X, LT would have to ensure a 20 percent growth in coming quarters on a year on year basis.
JaiPrakash associates and Unitech are raising fresh funds through fixed deposit receipts from the general public. The interest rates appear attractive on a three year term basis. At the same time the interest rate cycle is expected to move to a higher trajectory from March 2010. At the same time there is no guarantee that companies like Unitech, which failed to deliver projects on time, will ensure that funds will be refunded on time. Moreover it is surprising that Unitech with its debt: equity ratio of 0.4X after telenor deal is in a hurry to raise funds 200 basis points above the BPLR. What I suggest people who are looking for higher yields is Invest funds in short term liquid funds which will give an annual return of 6% till march. As the interest rates cycle starts an uptick the yields from these funds will start improving. Moreover when the Interest rate cycle is near its upper zone one can lock the money in long term Fixed deposit receipts of banks.
At the same time at the end of three years if the financials of the above companies improve investments in the shares of these companies would be a far better prospect. If you invest in a corporate FDR you are unable to liquidate your holdings once these companies turn around for the worst. A shareholder through his access to stock markets at any point of time can dump his holdings.
In coming days be ready for a sideways market unless 4900 is broken on the downside. The RBI policy announcement on Tuesday should be contraction oriented and not expansionary in nature. Hike in CRR is a possibility and the timing of the same can be questioned.
NIFTY SUPPORT:- 4921,4874
Nifty resistance :-5083,5115
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TSR SEPTEMBER SERIES REPORT.
PROFIT 82945 = IN 1 LOT
REFER
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TSR INTRA NIFTY
PROFITS 32840 (688 POINTS IN 1 LOT)
REFER
http://www.tsrnifty.blogspot.com/
TSR OPTIONS PLAN
PROFITS 38450
REFER
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